137
Chapter Nine

Adjustments and Risk Management

How to Stay Calm and Profitable When the Market Turns Against You

The Reality of the Wheel Strategy

Even the most experienced traders encounter losing trades. The Wheel Strategy is not a magic formula that avoids risk—it's a framework that manages it intelligently. When you sell options, you're getting paid to take on uncertainty. Sometimes that uncertainty turns against you. Stocks fall harder than expected, premiums shrink, and your once-profitable position dips into the red.

The difference between a good and a great Wheel trader isn't in how often they win—it's in how well they manage losses. This chapter focuses on that skill: learning to adjust, roll, and reposition your trades so you maintain control over your portfolio's direction, risk, and cash flow.

138

Understanding Adverse Moves

Before discussing adjustments, it's important to define what "a trade moving against you" really means in the context of the Wheel.

For cash-secured puts:

This occurs when the stock price drops below your strike price. The further it falls, the higher your unrealized loss.

For covered calls:

This happens when the stock surges far above your call's strike price (capping your upside) or falls well below your entry point (eroding your capital).

Adverse moves are normal. What separates a professional from a panicked trader is the plan that's made before the trade ever goes wrong.

The Role of Rolling in Adjustments

Rolling means closing your current option position and opening a new one with a later expiration date, a different strike price, or both. It's like pressing the "reset" button—extending the trade's duration while collecting additional premium or adjusting exposure.

139

Rolling a Cash-Secured Put

Let's say you sold a $50 put on XYZ stock for $2.00 (earning $200). The stock drops to $47, and the option is now worth $3.50 (a $150 paper loss). Instead of taking assignment, you can roll forward—buy back the current put and sell a new one at the same or lower strike with a later expiration.

For example:

Buy to close: $50 put, expiring Friday, at $3.50

Sell to open: $50 put, two weeks later, at $4.00

You've extended time and gained $0.50 in new premium ($50 in income), while giving the stock time to recover. The key here is maintaining discipline—rolling should have a purpose, not just delay the inevitable.

Rolling a Covered Call

Suppose you sold a $55 call on your 100 shares of XYZ for $1.50, but the stock skyrockets to $60. You can either let your shares be called away or roll up and out—buy back the old call and sell a new one further out in time with a higher strike.

For example:

Buy to close: $55 call for $5.00

Sell to open: $60 call expiring in three weeks for $6.00

The new call provides a credit ($1.00), giving you more premium and allowing more upside.

140

Managing Downtrends: When the Stock Falls Hard

One of the biggest fears for Wheel traders is when a stock falls sharply after assignment. Suddenly, your "comfortable to own long-term" stock feels like a lead weight in your portfolio.

Here's how to manage it rationally.

Step 1: Reassess the Fundamentals

Ask yourself: Has the company changed, or just the price?

  • If the fundamentals are intact—earnings steady, cash flow strong—consider continuing the Wheel by selling calls at lower strikes to generate income and reduce cost basis.
  • If fundamentals have deteriorated (earnings miss, structural decline), you may be better off cutting the position.

Step 2: Reduce Exposure with Covered Calls

Selling aggressive covered calls (closer to-the-money) generates higher premiums, offsetting part of your unrealized loss. This doesn't fix the decline, but it cushions it with consistent income.

141

Step 3: Use Time and Premiums to Your Advantage

Wheel traders thrive on time decay. The longer you stay patient and keep rolling intelligently, the more theta (time value) works in your favor. Avoid overreacting to short-term moves—your edge lies in being the seller of options, not the speculator chasing prices.

Managing Stocks That Rocket Up

The opposite problem is also tricky: when a stock surges and your covered calls cap your gains.

Option 1: Let It Go

There's nothing wrong with letting your shares be called away. You've made income from puts, capital gains on the shares, and additional premium from calls. That's a successful wheel cycle. Celebrate it, and prepare to start over.

Option 2: Roll Up and Out

If you want to keep your shares, roll the call up (to a higher strike) and out (to a later expiration). You'll often collect more premium while unlocking additional upside potential.

Option 3: Hybrid Approach

Partially roll—buy back only a portion of your calls, or split your position (e.g., 200 shares: roll 100, let 100 be called). This keeps you flexible and less exposed to one direction.

142

Using Delta and IV to Guide Adjustments

When managing adjustments, two key metrics guide your decisions:

Delta:

Measures sensitivity to price changes. A put with delta -0.30 means roughly a 30% chance of assignment. When a put's delta increases to -0.50 or -0.60, it's time to consider rolling or adjusting.

Implied Volatility (IV):

High IV inflates premiums, making rolling more profitable. Low IV shrinks premiums, making adjustments harder but less risky. Always check IV before rolling—it can turn a losing trade into a net credit roll.

Advanced Adjustment Techniques

a. Rolling Down for Credit

When a stock drops, sometimes you can roll to a lower strike and still collect credit. For example, rolling a $50 put (worth $3.50) to a $48 put two weeks later for $4.00 nets $0.50. You reduce your strike and lower your breakeven.

143

b. Rolling Diagonally

You can change both expiration and strike—known as a diagonal roll. This adds flexibility, especially when volatility conditions shift rapidly.

c. Adding a Hedge

In extreme volatility, consider buying cheap out-of-the-money puts to hedge your downside. While this slightly reduces your net premium, it protects your portfolio against sharp declines—a useful tool during uncertain markets.

Emotional Discipline: The Hidden Risk Factor

Adjusting positions is as much about psychology as mechanics. The temptation to panic-sell, revenge-trade, or "double down" can destroy a carefully built Wheel strategy.

Remind yourself:

  • Every trade should fit within your plan and position size.
  • Adjustments should be predefined responses, not emotional reactions.
  • Losses are part of the game—consistency beats perfection.

A great Wheel trader measures success by how well they followed their process, not whether each individual trade was a winner.

144

Knowing When to Stop Rolling

Rolling endlessly can trap you in a losing position. Sometimes the right move is to exit, take the loss, and move your capital to a stronger setup.

A good rule of thumb:

  • Exit if the stock's fundamentals break.
  • Exit if IV collapses and premium income no longer compensates risk.
  • Exit if the capital tied up could earn better returns elsewhere.

Remember: every adjustment should serve one of three purposes — to collect more income, reduce risk, or buy more time. If it doesn't do one of those, it's not worth rolling.

Example: A Full Adjustment Cycle

Let's walk through a realistic example.

1. You sell a $50 cash-secured put on XYZ for $2.00.

2. Stock drops to $47. You roll out one month for a $50 strike, collect $1.50 more.

3. Stock dips again to $45. You roll down to a $47 strike, collect $0.75.

4. You're eventually assigned at $47, effective cost basis $47 - (2 + 1.5 + 0.75) = $42.75.

5. You now sell $48 covered calls for $1.00 per share.

145

Even though the stock dropped, your disciplined rolling lowered your cost basis and kept cash flowing. That's the art of the Wheel: slow, methodical income generation through time and patience.

The Power of Resilience

Every investor eventually faces red screens and second guesses. But in the Wheel, those who stay disciplined, patient, and informed come out ahead. Adjustments are not just about fixing mistakes—they're about adapting intelligently to change.

Like the wheel itself, your success is cyclical. There will be downturns and recoveries. Each roll and adjustment keeps the motion alive, compounding your knowledge, skill, and income with every turn.

Key Takeaway:

Rolling is not about avoiding losses—it's about staying in control. When you master the art of adjustments, the market stops being something that happens to you and becomes something you navigate with purpose.

Strategic Framework for Adjustments

To bring everything together, here's a framework for managing adjustments in the Wheel Strategy:

146

When Stock Drops Below Put Strike:

• Check delta: if moving toward -0.50, consider rolling

• Check IV: higher IV makes rolling more profitable

• Roll out in time for additional premium

• Consider rolling down if you can still collect credit

• Reassess fundamentals before each roll

When Assigned on Shares After Put:

• Calculate your effective cost basis (strike - all premiums collected)

• If stock is below cost basis, sell aggressive ATM/ITM calls for max premium

• If stock is near cost basis, sell slightly OTM calls (delta 0.30-0.35)

• Track each premium to gradually reduce your breakeven

When Stock Surges Above Call Strike:

• Accept assignment if you've hit your profit target

• Roll up and out if you want to stay in the position

• Ensure any roll up collects net credit

• Consider the opportunity cost of capital

147

Emergency Protocols:

• If fundamentals deteriorate, exit the position

• If IV collapses and premiums become insignificant, close and move on

• If you've rolled 3+ times with no recovery, reassess the thesis

• Never "hope" a trade will work—make data-driven decisions

Real-World Adjustment Scenarios

Scenario A: Gradual Decline

XYZ stock drifts from $100 to $95 over several weeks. Your $100 put (sold for $3) is now worth $6.

Best Response:

Roll out 30-45 days for same strike or roll down to $98 strike if you can collect net credit. This gives the stock time to stabilize while maintaining income flow.

Scenario B: Sharp Drop

Breaking news causes XYZ to plummet from $100 to $85 in one day. Your $100 put explodes in value.

Best Response:

First, check if the news is temporary or structural. If temporary (e.g., earnings miss but company intact), IV will spike—perfect for rolling down to $90 or $85 for substantial credit. If structural (e.g., fraud, bankruptcy risk), close the position and take the loss.

148

Scenario C: Stuck in Assignment

You were assigned at $100, but the stock is now at $90. You've sold 3 rounds of covered calls at $95, collecting $1 each time, but the stock won't recover.

Best Response:

Your effective cost basis is now $97 ($100 - $3 in premiums). Evaluate: is the stock worth holding at $97? If yes, continue selling $92-$95 calls. If no, cut the position and redeploy capital to a stronger stock. Don't fall victim to sunk-cost fallacy.

Scenario D: Rocket Ship

You sold a $110 call on your shares (cost basis $100), collecting $2. The stock gaps to $125 overnight on an acquisition rumor.

Best Response:

Let it go! You'll earn $10 from stock appreciation + $2 from the call = $12 profit (12% return). That's a win. Start the wheel again by selling puts at $125 or find a new opportunity. Chasing the runaway train often leads to losses.

149

The Psychology of Adjustments

Understanding the mechanics is one thing—executing under pressure is another. Here's how to maintain mental discipline during difficult adjustments:

Pre-Trade Planning

Before entering any position, define your adjustment rules:

  • "If the stock drops X%, I will roll to [specific parameters]"
  • "If assigned, I will sell calls at [delta] for [DTE]"
  • "I will exit if fundamentals change or after [X] unsuccessful rolls"

This removes emotion from the equation. You're simply following your plan.

During the Trade

When a position moves against you:

  • Take a breath. Panic leads to poor decisions.
  • Review your pre-trade plan. What did you commit to doing?
  • Check the data: delta, IV, fundamentals.
  • Execute the adjustment calmly and document it.
150

Post-Trade Review

After closing a position (win or loss):

  • Log what happened: entry, adjustments, exit, P/L
  • Assess: did you follow your plan?
  • Identify lessons: what would you do differently?
  • Apply insights to future trades

This continuous feedback loop is what transforms a novice into a master trader.

Essential Metrics for Adjustment Decisions

Keep these metrics at your fingertips when considering adjustments:

MetricWhat It Tells YouAction Threshold
DeltaProbability of assignmentConsider rolling at -0.50+
IV RankRelative volatility levelRoll when IV > 40 for better credits
ThetaDaily time decayHigher = faster premium collection
DTEDays to expirationRoll at 21 DTE or when testing strike
P/L %Unrealized gain/lossExit if > 100% loss or fund broken
151

Advanced Rolling Strategies

The Double Roll

When a position has moved significantly against you, consider rolling in two stages:

1. First, roll out in time at the same strike to collect premium and buy time

2. If the stock stabilizes, roll down the strike on the next expiration

This staged approach reduces risk while maximizing premium collection over time.

The Split Roll

If you have multiple contracts (e.g., 200 shares = 2 calls), you can:

  • Let one contract expire/assign
  • Roll the other to a different strike/expiration

This diversifies your expiration dates and reduces concentration risk.

The Inverted Wheel

In rare cases where a stock has fallen significantly but you believe in long-term recovery:

  • Stop selling OTM calls
  • Sell ITM calls for maximum premium
  • Accept that shares may be called away, but you've collected maximum income

This accelerates your cost basis reduction at the expense of upside participation.

152

Risk Management Protocols

Every professional trader needs predetermined stop-loss and adjustment protocols. Here's a framework:

The 3-Roll Rule

If you've rolled a position 3 times without improvement, it's time to seriously consider exiting. Each roll costs opportunity and mental capital.

The 50% Rule

If a position moves more than 50% against your initial plan (e.g., sold $100 put, stock now at $50), stop trying to salvage it. Take the loss and redeploy capital.

The Fundamental Break Rule

If the company announces material negative news (investigation, bankruptcy, major revenue loss), exit immediately. Don't try to trade your way out of a fundamentally broken stock.

153

Building Your Adjustment Playbook

Create a personal reference document with these sections:

1. Entry Rules

  • Position size (% of portfolio)
  • Delta range for puts (0.25-0.35)
  • Delta range for calls (0.25-0.35)
  • Minimum IV rank (30+)
  • DTE range (30-45 days)

2. Management Rules

  • When to roll puts (delta reaches -0.50 or at 21 DTE)
  • When to roll calls (delta reaches 0.70 or at 21 DTE)
  • How much credit required to roll (minimum $0.25)

3. Exit Rules

  • Profit target (50-75% of max profit)
  • Loss limit (never more than 3 rolls)
  • Fundamental deterioration triggers
  • Opportunity cost threshold
154

4. Review Schedule

  • Daily: check positions approaching DTE
  • Weekly: review all open positions for adjustment needs
  • Monthly: analyze P/L, win rate, adjustment effectiveness
  • Quarterly: refine rules based on performance data

The Wisdom of Controlled Losses

In the Wheel Strategy, small controlled losses are part of the system. They're the cost of doing business. What matters is your process, not perfection.

Think of adjustments like steering a ship. The wind and waves will constantly push you off course. Your job isn't to prevent every deviation—it's to make small, consistent corrections that keep you moving toward your destination.

The traders who succeed aren't the ones who never face adversity. They're the ones who handle it with discipline, data, and decisiveness.

"The market doesn't care about your position. But your response to the market determines everything."

155

Moving Forward

You now have a complete framework for managing risk and making adjustments in the Wheel Strategy. These skills separate sustainable income traders from those who blow up their accounts.

As you move into the next chapter, you'll learn how to scale your wheel operation—managing multiple positions, tracking performance, and building a systematic approach that generates consistent monthly income across your entire portfolio.

The wheel keeps turning. And now, you know how to keep it turning smoothly, even when the road gets rough.

End of Chapter 9

Chapter 8
Chapter 9 of 15
Chapter 10